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Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. (CVKD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 reflected continued pre-revenue investment: net loss of $3.67M and EPS of -$1.87, missing S&P Global consensus EPS of -$1.78 by ~$0.10; R&D declined sequentially while G&A rose year over year . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
  • Management advanced CMC readiness (API transfer to U.S. CDMO and manufactured clinical drug product) and announced a new study plan in ESKD patients transitioning to dialysis, including those with and without AFib—expanding tecarfarin’s potential path to registration .
  • Liquidity trended lower: cash and equivalents were $5.57M at 6/30/25 vs $7.34M at 3/31/25 and $10.02M at 12/31/24; shares outstanding were ~2.01M at period-end .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: the ESKD-dialysis initiation plan, sustained LVAD program momentum (Abbott collaboration), and Russell index additions as of June 30, 2025, which can broaden the shareholder base .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • CMC and trial readiness materially advanced: “By successfully completing the technical transfer of tecarfarin to a U.S. site of a leading global CDMO and manufacturing tecarfarin drug product, we have achieved critical steps in CMC readiness” — Quang X. Pham, CEO .
    • New clinical path in ESKD transitioning to dialysis: enrollment planned for later this year; addresses an unmet need and is framed as a step toward ESKD+AFib registration strategy .
    • Index inclusion: effective June 30, 2025, CVKD was added to Russell 3000E and Russell Microcap indexes, potentially broadening institutional ownership .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS missed S&P Global consensus; Q2 2025 EPS was -$1.87 vs -$1.78 consensus (approx. $0.10 miss), reflecting higher G&A and ongoing lack of revenue . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
    • G&A expenses rose sharply YoY to $2.66M (vs $1.21M in Q2 2024), adding pressure to operating expenses even as R&D moderated .
    • Cash burn continued: cash fell to $5.57M at quarter-end from $7.34M in Q1 and $10.02M at year-end, underscoring future financing risk absent near-term revenue .

Financial Results

Metric ($USD Millions, except per-share)Q2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
R&D Expense$1.25 $1.67 $1.08
G&A Expense$1.21 $2.25 $2.66
Total Operating Expenses$2.47 $3.93 $3.73
Net Loss$2.39 $3.85 $3.67
Diluted EPS ($)-$2.24 -$2.09 -$1.87
Interest & Dividend Income$0.07 $0.08 $0.07
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)1.07 1.84 1.96

Notes: Company reported no revenue; gross/EBITDA margins are not applicable in the pre-revenue stage .

Vs. S&P Global consensus and actuals:

MetricPeriodS&P Global Consensus*ActualSurprise
EPS ($)Q2 2025-$1.78*-$1.87 -$0.10 (miss)
EPS ($)Q1 2025-$2.15*-$2.09 +$0.06 (beat)
Revenue ($M)Q2 2025$0.00*— (no revenue reported) n/a
Revenue ($M)Q1 2025$0.00*— (no revenue reported) n/a

KPIs and Liquidity:

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$10.02 $7.34 $5.57
Period-End Shares Outstanding (Millions)1.782 1.910 2.007

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

Metric/ItemPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quantitative financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx, EPS)2025None issued in prior release None issued in Q2 release Maintained (no guidance)
ESKD Dialysis Clinical Study2025 start-upNot previously guided specificallyPlan to initiate; site activation/screening later in 2025 Introduced
TECH-LVAD (Phase 3 planning)2025Abbott collaboration and FDA Type D design feedback disclosed previously Continued pursuit; no new Q2 change disclosed Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Clinical path (LVAD/ESKD)Abbott collaboration for TECH-LVAD; FDA Type D meeting guidance on Phase 3 design Announces ESKD dialysis-transition study plan; frames as step toward ESKD+AFib registration Broadening clinical strategy beyond LVAD to ESKD initiation
CMC/ManufacturingcGMP readiness to supply pivotal trials Completed tech transfer to U.S. site; manufactured clinical drug product Execution progressing
Business developmentExploring collaborations and pipeline expansion Continues to explore partners across ESKD, AFib, LVAD Ongoing
Market visibilityInvestor/medical conferences active Continued conference participation Steady
Capital/indicesRaised ~$9.8M in 2024 Added to Russell 3000E and Microcap (6/30/25) Index inclusion may aid ownership breadth

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; themes reflect company 8-Ks and press releases.

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to advance our goal of developing transformative therapeutics… reflected in our strategic plan to initiate a clinical trial for tecarfarin in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) for patients transitioning to dialysis.” — Quang X. Pham, Chairman & CEO .
  • “By successfully completing the technical transfer… and manufacturing tecarfarin drug product, we have achieved critical steps in CMC readiness to supply our planned clinical trial.” — Quang X. Pham .
  • “There is a critical need for safe, effective anticoagulants for use in ESKD patients… we are excited to advance this program.” — Quang X. Pham .
  • On organizational progress earlier in the year: appointment of a CMO, Type D FDA feedback, and Abbott collaboration supportive of TECH-LVAD design and awareness .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript or Q&A detail was found in the company’s filings/press releases; no additional clarifications beyond the press releases were available .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS missed S&P Global consensus by ~$0.10: actual -$1.87 vs -$1.78 consensus; revenue remained at zero as expected for a pre-revenue biotech . EPS/revenue consensus values from S&P Global*.
  • Q1 2025 EPS beat by ~$0.06 (actual -$2.09 vs -$2.15 consensus), aided by higher weighted average shares and interest income, though operating expenses rose year over year . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
  • Given continued pre-revenue status and a broader ESKD/LVAD development plan, Street models may shift OpEx mix (G&A vs R&D timing) and timing of trial start-up costs.

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term catalyst: initiation of the ESKD dialysis-transition study (site activation/screening later 2025) can validate tecarfarin’s renal profile and support an ESKD+AFib registration path .
  • Manufacturing risk reduced: U.S.-based API/drug product readiness de-risks clinical supply for upcoming studies .
  • Capital needs remain a watch item: cash declined to $5.57M at Q2-end; without revenue, additional financing or partnerships may be necessary to fund multi-indication development .
  • Program breadth expanding: continued pursuit of LVAD (with Abbott support) while adding ESKD-transitions study increases optionality but may elevate operating complexity .
  • Index inclusion may aid liquidity/ownership diversification (Russell additions effective 6/30/25) .
  • EPS variability likely to persist as G&A ramps and R&D timing shifts; model sensitivity should focus on OpEx cadence rather than revenue in the near term .
  • Regulatory and design clarity (Type D feedback) and external validation (Abbott collaboration) support the medium-term thesis that tecarfarin can address patient populations underserved by warfarin/DOACs .

Citations: Q2 2025 8-K and press release ; Q1 2025 8-K and press release ; FY 2024 update ; ESKD clinical plan press release (Aug 5, 2025) .